Advanced hockey statistics like Corsi, Fenwick, and expected goals reveal team quality that wins/losses don't capture. Teams with excellent underlying metrics but poor results are often mispriced in betting markets, creating value opportunities.

Expected Goals vs Actual Goals

Teams significantly outperforming their expected goals are due for regression. Conversely, teams underperforming expected goals based on shooting percentage luck represent value plays. I target teams with strong possession metrics whose results will eventually match their process.